This article is the part of “Policy Pathways for Food and Water Security in the MENA Region“
For decades, the countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)a,[1] have achieved a remarkable feat of hydrological engineering. Faced with extreme water scarcity, they turned to the sea, building some of the world’s largest desalination plants, now responsible for more than half of global desalinated water production. This transformation began in the mid-twentieth century and has since sustained cities, industries, and agriculture.
At the same time, however, these plants have created new strategic vulnerabilities, including high energy dependence, ecological pressures from brine discharge, and rising costs associated with electricity consumption.[2]
The region’s next phase of water security will not be achieved simply by building more capacity. It requires a technological and governance transition, one centred on modern membranes,b integrated energy-water-food planning, and a regulatory framework that aligns desalination with national development priorities. For policymakers, advancing membrane desalination is no longer just a technical matter; it is a strategic imperative tied to economic resilience, food security, and the stability of rapidly growing digital economies.
Water Security, Food Security, and the Limits of the Status Quo
MENA is the most water-stressed region in the world.[3] In most countries of the region, agriculture accounts for 70 to 90 percent of freshwater withdrawals, yet shrinking aquifers, climate-driven droughts, and population growth are tightening the supply-demand gap. This makes water reliability a direct determinant of food security. Local crop production, from dates to vegetables, depends on predictable irrigation water. When freshwater is diverted to cities or industry, agriculture is the first to suffer, increasing import dependence and exposure to global food-price volatility.
Desalination plays a central role in protecting municipal supply, but the current energy-intensive model contains long-term risks. Reverse osmosis (RO) desalination has reduced energy needs dramatically compared to thermal systems, yet even advanced RO plants operate at two to three times the theoretical minimum energy requirement.[4] This benchmark reflects the unavoidable thermodynamic energy required to separate salt from water, estimated at about 1.06 kWh/m3 for desalinating 35,000 mg/L seawater at a 50-percent recovery rate.[5] The closer systems get to that minimum, the lower their operating costs and carbon footprint. For policymakers, this gap represents billions of dollars in lifetime operational expenditure and major implications for national emissions targets.
Environmental pressures compound these risks. RO plants with ~50 percent recovery rates produce nearly a liter of hypersaline brine for every liter of freshwater. Discharging this into coastal waters elevates salinity and harms ecosystems central to fisheries and tourism. Brine can also deplete oxygen levels and harm sensitive marine ecosystems, particularly coral reefs and seagrass beds. As desalination scales to support growing cities, economy, agriculture, and emerging digital industries, these challenges will intensify.
The Frontline of Change: Advances in Membrane Technology
Membranes sit at the core of RO desalination, dictating the efficiency, cost, and environmental footprint of every plant. Across the region and globally, a new wave of membrane innovation is accelerating. Researchers, including this author’s research at NYUAD Water Research Center,[6] are developing polymer membranes with improved permeability and fouling resistance;[7] hybrid membranes that combine mechanical strength with scalability; biomimetic membranes inspired by aquaporins, capable of transporting water at high flux with minimal energy; 3D-printing of novel membranes,[8] and nanostructured membranes with precisely engineered pores that could separate ions, metals, or specific contaminants in a single step.
These advances work toward a common goal: reducing the pressure needed to push seawater through the membrane and minimising the fouling that forces plants to clean, replace, or operate at higher pressures. Reducing fouling rates and extending membrane lifespans can yield greater energy savings than incremental gains in permeability alone. As these innovations move from the lab to the field, pilot projects will likely test these membranes in real plants. The rising tide of membrane innovation promises to raise the sails of MENA’s water security, not by breaking physics, but by outsmarting inefficiency.
Renewable-Powered Desalination: Regional Momentum
What once was a limitation, desalination’s dependence on electricity, has become a strategic advantage as MENA accelerates its shift toward clean energy. Solar, nuclear, and wind power are increasingly being used to drive these desalination systems, aligning water production with the region’s clean-energy transition. With an abundance of sun and wind and an urgent need for water, the logic is clear: let renewable energy fuel desalination. The synergy between membranes and renewable power is increasingly visible across the region.[9] The UAE’s Taweelah IWP, for example,[10] integrates one of the world’s largest RO facilities with dedicated solar production. Saudi Arabia’s Al Khafji solar-powered plant[11] demonstrates the feasibility of large-scale desalination running entirely on solar energy. Oman’s pilot membrane installations in Sur[12] explore how advanced membranes and renewable sources can be combined at smaller, more distributed scales.
Together, these examples signal a regional transition toward cleaner and more cost-stable desalination, with potential benefits extending from municipal supply to agriculture and rural development. As solar and wind prices continue to fall, fully renewable desalination becomes increasingly realistic, including off-grid systems that support remote communities, islands, and agricultural clusters. These systems can significantly reduce diesel imports, minimise carbon emissions, and enhance local self-sufficiency.
Toward a Coherent Governance Framework
Technology alone will not be able to secure the region’s water future. A more coherent governance framework is required, one that aligns desalination with national priorities across water, energy, food, digital infrastructure, and industry.
A first pillar of this framework is regulation and sustainability standards. Clear guidelines on brine discharge, energy efficiency, and water quality, especially for agriculture and food production, will enable desalinated water to be used reliably across sectors.
Equally important is cross-sector coordination, particularly as emerging industries reshape regional water demand. The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and data-centre infrastructure across the Gulf is creating a new class of strategic water consumers. Large-scale AI model training, cloud services, and hyperscale data centres all require substantial volumes of high-quality water for cooling, thermal regulation, and uninterrupted power delivery. This trend is accelerating: recent UAE-US agreements to deepen cooperation in AI,[13] advanced computing, and chip manufacturing signal a regional shift toward digital economies that depend on a stable and scalable water supply.
If managed proactively, desalination can support this growth without displacing water allocated to households or agriculture. If left uncoordinated, however, these rising cooling demands could intensify competition across sectors. Incorporating AI-related water forecasting into desalination planning is therefore essential for future-ready governance.
This need for integration extends to agriculture. Desalination expansion should be planned alongside national food security strategies, ensuring predictable irrigation supplies and promoting treated-wastewater reuse where appropriate. Private-sector participation also plays a vital role.
Public-private partnerships that reward high efficiency, low carbon footprints, and the adoption of advanced membranes can accelerate modernisation across the region’s desalination portfolio. Competitive tenders that require renewable-energy integration and high-performance membrane technology ensure that innovation is rapidly absorbed into national infrastructure.
Policy Pathways for a Resilient Desalination Future
Policy and investment decisions will determine how quickly membrane desalination can progress, since MENA governments know water and energy policy must align. To support membrane innovation, policymakers can encourage research funding for new materials and devices, while reforming water pricing to incentivise efficiency. Clearly communicated water tariffs, for example, can discourage waste while helping consumers appreciate the true value of the resource.
Public-private partnerships allow governments to share the risk of building cutting-edge plants. A number of MENA countries have already issued calls for proposals to build and run state-of-the-art desalination facilities. These initiatives often require the latest membrane technology or renewable energy, fast-tracking innovation into deployment.
Beyond infrastructure, the region is also investing in innovation as a form of water diplomacy. The UAE’s Mohammed Bin Zayed Water Initiative[14] has put US$150 million toward accelerating breakthrough water technologies worldwide through the XPRIZE Water Scarcity competition,[15] which challenges scientists and engineers across the world to build affordable, energyefficient desalination systems. These initiatives go beyond funding; they create a race to the top, turning water scarcity from a crisis into a catalyst for invention.
Furthermore, water knows no borders, aquifers, rivers; even desalination know-how can spill across lines. Arab states and regional bodies can share best practices and pool resources for large research centres. Joint labs and scholarships in water science help the entire region benefit from collective knowledge. Collaboration might even extend to shared desalination projects on international waterways. The following are the key policy pathways:
- R&D Incentives: Grants for universities, research centres, and startups developing next-generation membrane materials, low-pressure RO systems, and renewablepowered desalination technologies.
- Infrastructure Modernisation: Replacing ageing thermal desalination plants with modern membrane-based facilities and hybrid systems that offer higher efficiency, lower emissions, and greater operational flexibility.
- Environmental Regulation: Establishing clear standards for brine disposal, effluent quality, and marine ecosystem protection, while encouraging technologies that minimise brine volumes or enable resource recovery.
- Capacity Building: Training local engineers, plant operators, and regulators in advanced membrane systems, renewable integration, digital monitoring, and best practices in desalination management.
- Public Awareness: Promoting water-conservation initiatives and improving public understanding of the economic and environmental value of clean water to support sustainable consumption.
- Food- and Agriculture-Linked Measures: Introducing incentives for expanded water reuse in agriculture, prioritising treated wastewater as the primary irrigation source over desalinated water, aligning desalination planning with national food security strategies, and establishing clear quality standards for both treated wastewater and desalinated water used in irrigation, controlled-environment farming, and foodproduction sectors.
By weaving these policies together, MENA countries create fertile ground for membrane innovation, resulting in desalination systems that pump out water as well as the local economies and protect the environment. Policymakers have a chance to turn water scarcity into an opportunity for growth.
The Road Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities
While progress is evident, hurdles remain. A crucial challenge is the management of brine, the excessively salty leftover from desalination. If simply dumped into the sea, it can harm marine life. Smart membranes will partly solve this by producing less brine (higher water yield), but the industry must also invest in brine reduction technologies. Ideas include mixing brine with other waste streams, extracting valuable minerals, or even using it for salt-tolerant aquaculture, turning a problem into an opportunity.
Energy storage and grid integration are other challenges. Renewable-powered desalination[16] works best when the sun shines or the wind blows. To avoid shutdowns at night or on calm days, plants might need battery storage or to stay connected to the grid as a backup. Policymakers can encourage this by aligning electricity and water planning. As battery and grid technologies improve, these issues will become easier to manage.
Indeed, these challenges spur innovation. Companies are testing mobile desalination units on barges or ships to serve remote islands or drought emergencies. There is talk of using AI to optimise plant operations, predict maintenance, and adjust pressure to save energy highlighting the water-AI nexus. As membranes improve, what could follow are foldable desalination units that communities can easily deploy. These solutions could bring clean water to the most remote areas.
The opportunities also extend across the region. MENA’s membrane technologies could be exported to other arid parts of the world, from North Africa to Central Asia, creating new industries and jobs at home. Resilient water systems also contribute to stability: water shortages have historically led to stress in many parts of MENA. By securing fresh water, governments buy time for reforms in food production and energy use.
Overall, in MENA, where desert meets sea, membrane innovation could turn scarcity into plenty, and this revolution in desalination is already unfolding in labs, pilot plants, and even on policymakers’ drawing boards. The path to water and food security runs through innovation, requiring investment, cooperation, and new ideas. If the region continues on this course, its waters will be cleaner, more abundant, and more dependable, ensuring that even in the driest climes, life can flourish.
Endnotes
[1] Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), “Middle East and North Africa Section,” OHCHR, https://www.ohchr.org/en/countries/middle-east-north-africa-region/middle-eastnorth- africa-section-hq.
[2] Haya Nassrullah et al., “Energy for Desalination: A State-Of-The-Art Review,” Desalination 491, October 1, 2020: 114569.
[3] SIWI and UNICEF, Water Scarcity and Climate Change Enabling Environment Analysis for WASH: Middle East and North Africa, Stockholm and New York, Stockholm International Water Institute and United Nations Children’s Fund, 2023, https://www.unicef.org/mena/media/20916/file/Water%20Scarcity%20 and%20Climate%20Change%20Enabling%20Environment%20Analysis%20for%20WASH:%20MENA.pdf.
[4] Nassrullah et al., “Energy for Desalination: A State-Of-The-Art Review.”
[5] Nassrullah et al., “Energy for Desalination: A State-Of-The-Art Review.”
[6] NYU Abu Dhabi, “Water Research Center,” https://nyuad.nyu.edu/en/research/faculty-labs-and-projects/ water-research-center.html.
[7] Yazan Ibrahim and Nidal Hilal, “Enhancing Ultrafiltration Membrane Permeability and Antifouling Performance Through Surface Patterning with Features Resembling Feed Spacers,” NPJ Clean Water 6, no. 1 (2023): 60.
[8] Yazan Ibrahim and Nidal Hilal, “Integration of Porous and Permeable Poly (Ether Sulfone) Feed Spacer onto Membrane Surfaces Via Direct 3D Printing,” ACS Applied Engineering Materials 2, no. 4 (2024): 1094-1109.
[9] World Banks, Renewable Energy Desalination: An Emerging Solution To Close The Water Gap In The Middle East and North Africa (English), October 2012, Water Partnership Program (WPP), Washington DC, World Bank Group, 2012, http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/443161468275091537.
[10] ACWA Power, “Taweelah RO Desalination IWP,” https://acwapower.com/en/projects/taweelah-rodesalination- iwp/.
[11] Vision 2030, “Alkhafji Desalination Plant,” https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en/explore/projects/alkhafjidesalination- plant.
[12] Veolia Water Technologies, “Oman Case Studies,” https://www.veoliawatertechnologies.com/en/casestudies/ oman.
[13] “UAE/US Framework on Advanced Technology Cooperation,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs, United Arab Emirates, May 16, 2025, https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/MediaHub/News/2025/5/16/16-5-2025-UAE-US.
[14] Mohamed bin Zayed Water Initiative, “UAE President Establishes Initiative to Address Global Water Scarcity,” February 29, 2024, https://www.mohamedbinzayedwi.ae/news/uae-president-establishesinitiative- to-address-global-water-scarcity.
[15] XPRIZE, “Water Competitions,” https://www.xprize.org/competitions/water.
[16] Mohammad Alshawaf et al., “Renewable Energy-Driven Desalination for Sustainable Water Production in the Middle East,” International Journal of Sustainable Engineering 17, no. 1 (2024): 668-678.









